Electoral Update

August 27, 2008

I will have new projections for congress and the presidency this weekend after the convention.

CNN (8/23-24)

Obama 44(-2)

McCain 44(-2)

Zogby Interactive (8/23-24)

Obama 45(+2)

McCain 42(+2)

Diageo/The Hotline (8/18-24)

Obama 44(+/-0)

McCain 40(-2)

USA Today/Gallup (8/21-23)

Obama 47(+2)

McCain 43(-6)

ABC News/Washington Post (8/19-22)

Obama 49(-1)

McCain 43(-1)

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics (8/19-20)

Obama 42(+2)

McCain 39(+2)

The Economist/YouGov-Polimetrix (8/18-20)

Obama 39(-2)

McCain 38(-2)

CBS News/New York Times  (8/15-19)

Obama 45(+/- 0)

McCain 42(+3)

NBC News/Wall Street Journal (8/15-18 )

Obama 45(-2)

McCain 42(-1)

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg (8/15-18 )

Obama 45(-3)

McCain 43(+10)

Quinnipiac University (8/12-17)

Obama 47(-3)

McCain 42(+1)

Zogby/ Reuters (8/14-16)

McCain 46(+6)

Obama 41(-6)

George Washington University Battleground/The Tarrance Group/Lake Research Partners (8/10-14)

McCain 47(+/-0)

Obama 46(-3)

Electoral College

Obama 298

McCain 237

Tie 3

Indiana is still in Obama’s column, sorry for the mixup.

Senate

Dems 54(+5)

GOP 44(-5)

Ind 2

House

Dems 236(+/- 0)

GOP 183 (-16)

Toss Up 16

Zogby Interactive (8/12-14)

Obama 43

McCain 40

The Economist/YouGov Polimetrix(8/11-13)

Obama 41(-1)

McCain 40(+1)

Gallup Open Ended (8/7-10)

Obama 45

McCain 38

Investory’s Business Daily/TechnoMetrica Institute (8/4-9)

Obama 43(+3)

McCain 38(+1)

Pew Research Center (7/31-8/10)

Obama 46(-1)

McCain 43(+1)

Harris Interactive (8/1-7)

Obama 47

McCain 38

Electoral College

Obama 311

McCain 224

Tie 3

Senate

Dems 55(+6)

GOP 42(-7)

Ind 2

Tie 1

House

Dems 236(+/- 0)

GOP 184 (-15)

Toss Up 15

The Economist/YouGov Polimetrix(8/4-6)

Obama 42

McCain 39

CBS News (7/31-8/05)

Obama 45(+/- 0)

McCain 39(+/- 0)

Time Magazine (7/31-8/04)

Obama 46(+3)

McCain 41(+3)

Associated Press/Ipsos (7/31-8/04)

Obama 47(-3)

McCain 38(-5)

Associated Television/Zogby (7/31-8/1)

McCain 42(+6)

Obama 41(-5)

Electoral College

Obama 349

McCain 186

Tie 3